Abstract
Kepler Mission results are rapidly contributing to fundamentally new
discoveries in both the exoplanet and asteroseismology fields. The data
returned from Kepler are unique in terms of the number of stars observed,
precision of photometry for time series observations, and the temporal extent
of high duty cycle observations. As the first mission to provide extensive time
series measurements on thousands of stars over months to years at a level
hitherto possible only for the Sun, the results from Kepler will vastly
increase our knowledge of stellar variability for quiet solar-type stars. Here
we report on the stellar noise inferred on the timescale of a few hours of most
interest for detection of exoplanets via transits. By design the data from
moderately bright Kepler stars are expected to have roughly comparable levels
of noise intrinsic to the stars and arising from a combination of fundamental
limitations such as Poisson statistics and any instrument noise. The noise
levels attained by Kepler on-orbit exceed by some 50% the target levels for
solar-type, quiet stars. We provide a decomposition of observed noise for an
ensemble of 12th magnitude stars arising from fundamental terms (Poisson and
readout noise), added noise due to the instrument and that intrinsic to the
stars. The largest factor in the modestly higher than anticipated noise follows
from intrinsic stellar noise. We show that using stellar parameters from
galactic stellar synthesis models, and projections to stellar rotation,
activity and hence noise levels reproduces the primary intrinsic stellar noise
features.