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The Effects of Unanticipated Macroeconomic News on Debt Markets
Journal article   Peer reviewed

The Effects of Unanticipated Macroeconomic News on Debt Markets

Rohan Christie-David, Mukesh Chaudhry and James T. Lindley
The Journal of financial research, Vol.26(3), pp.319-339
07-2003

Abstract

G14 G15
We examine the effects of unanticipated macroeconomic news on two interest rate futures using intraday data. The surprises are identified on the basis of their potential effects on debt markets (positive or negative) and by their size (large, medium, or small). The results show distinct ex-post return patterns associated with different categories of news surprises. For example, large surprises have the strongest immediate effects whereas negative surprises have the longest persisting effects. Tests that examine the separate effects of each announcement suggest that debt responses vary with the size and potential effect of the news surprise in each announcement.
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